Choice proliferation, simplicity seeking, and asset allocation
نویسندگان
چکیده
In settings such as investing for retirement or choosing a drug plan, individuals typically face a large number of options. In this paper, we analyze how the size of the choice set influences which alternative is selected. We present both laboratory experiments and field data that suggest larger choice sets induce a stronger preference for simple, easy-tounderstand options. The first experiment demonstrates that, in seeming violation of the weak axiom of revealed preference, subjects are more likely to select a given sure bet over non-degenerate gambles when choosing from a set of 11 options than when choosing from a subset of 3. The second experiment clarifies that large choice sets induce a preference for simpler, rather than less risky, options. Lastly, using records of more than 500,000 employees from 638 institutions, we demonstrate that the presence of more funds in an individual’s 401(k) plan is associated with a greater allocation to money market and bond funds at the expense of equity funds. ∗ We are grateful to Shlomo Benartzi, Ray Fisman, Matthew Gentzkow, Gur Huberman, David Laibson and seminar audiences at Berkeley, Cornell, Wharton, and UCLA for helpful comments and suggestions. John Remarek provided excellent research assistance.
منابع مشابه
Inflation hedging portfolios in different regimes
This paper presents the optimal strategic asset allocation for investors seeking to hedge inflation risk. Using a vector-autoregressive model, we investigate the optimal choice for an investor with a fixed target real return at different horizons, with shortfall probability constraint. We show that the strategic allocation differs sharply across regimes. In a volatile macroeconomic environment,...
متن کاملSeeking the Profitability-Risk-Competitiveness Frontier Using a Genetic Algorithm
Monte Carlo simulation is used to develop a flexible framework to measure the profitability, risk, and competitiveness of any insurance product. A genetic algorithm is then used to seek the optimum asset allocations that form the profitability-risk-competitiveness frontier and to examine the profitability, risk, and competitiveness trade-off's. We also show how to select the appropriate asset a...
متن کاملPensionmetrics: stochastic pension plan design and value-at-risk during the accumulation phase
We estimate values-at-risk (VaR) in the accumulation phase of defined-contribution pension plans. We examine a range of asset-return models (including stationary moments, regime-switching and fundamentals models) and a range of asset-allocation strategies (both static and with simple dynamic forms, such as lifestyle, threshold and constant proportion portfolio insurance). We draw four conclusio...
متن کاملAsset-Exploitation Versus Asset-Seeking: Implications for Location Choice of Foreign Direct Investment from Newly Industrialized Economies
We wish to thank Professor John Dunning for his comments and continuous encouragement. We also thank three anonymous referees for their very insightful and helpful comments on earlier drafts. The work described in this paper was partially supported by a grant from the Research Grants Council of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region (Project No. CUHK4052/99H). This study examined several h...
متن کاملDiscussion Papers in Accounting and Finance Pension Scheme Asset Allocation with Taxation Arbitrage, Risk Sharing and Default Insurance Professor
The asset allocation is a crucial decision for pension funds, and this paper analyses the economic factors which determine this choice. The analysis proceeds on the basis that, in the absence of taxation, risk sharing and default insurance, the asset allocation between equities and bonds is indeterminate and governed by the risk-return preferences of the trustees and the employer. If the employ...
متن کامل